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Subsidy Brouhaha And The Way Forward by Solomon Ekoja

After the last general election that ushered in the Government of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, I never for once thought the country would receive a surprise package during the inauguration speech. Since I wasn’t invited to attend the occasion at the Eagles Square in Abuja, I glued to my radio set and internet facility to catch a glimpse of proceedings. As I followed the salutation and other nitty gritty of the speech, this part hit me like a volcano… ”We commend the decision of the outgoing administration in phasing out the petrol subsidy regime, which has increasingly favoured the rich more than the poor. Subsidy can no longer justify its ever-increasing costs in the wake of drying resources. We shall instead, re-channel the funds into better investment in public infrastructure, education, health care and jobs that will materially improve the lives of millions.” This was not what the majority of Nigerians expected to hear. For me, the news hit me considering the economic situation of the time. After the speech, fuel stations in my town, which had been selling their products the previous day, shut their gates and stopped selling. When they later resumed sale, a litre of fuel skyrocketed to 500 naira to the amazement of many Nigerians. Although the removal of the subsidy on fuel has tremendous benefits to the nation’s economy, the manner in which it was done showed a lack of empathy and consideration for the common Nigerian. As I joined my peers to discuss the issue, the majority were of the opinion that it was an ill-timed policy while a few hailed the decision as a bold step in the right direction. On my path, I believe the removal of the subsidy was good but should have been done in phases to cushion the effect on Nigerians.  In phase one, public services like public transport facilities, government-owned pump stations and local refineries should have been first set up before the partial removal of the subsidy for six months. Thereafter, phase two would have involved the granting of friendly licences to business tycoons to woo them into the local refining of crude oil to create competition. With this achieved, fuel subsidy would have been removed completely without much hassle. The above idea would have created a balance in the economy and assisted Nigerians to seamlessly adapt to the change. Well, the bathtub is already dirty but we can’t afford to throw the baby away with the dirty water. Hence, the need to analyse the effects of the subsidy removal and proffer a way forward. Positive effects *The major gain of removing the subsidy is the freeing of resources for other sectors of the economy. According to the Presidency, Nigeria was able to save $1.32 billion since May 2023 after the subsidy removal. The fear among Nigerians however is whether the funds will be judiciously used to cater for the populace. *The subsidy removal also acted as an incentive for domestic refineries to produce more petroleum products and shift the attention of our economy from importation. *With each state earmarked to receive aid and other palliatives from the Federal government to cushion the effects of the subsidy removal, more job opportunities have opened up, especially in the transport industry. *Through the subsidy removal, there will be a reduction in the yearly budget needed to run the affairs of the country. This will help the country to cut down the cost of governance. *On a funny note, the removal of subsidy has increased the level of daily exercise among Nigerians. Before the subsidy removal, Nigerians especially those in the working class found it difficult to exercise themselves through trekking but with the subsidy removal, many are resorting to trekking and bicycle use for short distance trips. Negative effects *Due to the subsidy removal, there has been an exponential increase in the prices of petroleum products. A litre of fuel now goes for around 600 naira as against 185 naira. The ripple effect of this has caused inflation and reduced the purchasing power of consumers. *Social vices, crimes and protests have become the order of the day since the removal of fuel subsidy. With many Nigerians unemployed in the midst of the current hardship, they are tempted out of a quest for survival to be involved in activities capable of frustrating the peace of the nation. *The subsidy removal has reduced the standard of living of many Nigerians as many now scavenge to survive. *There is an increased rate of mortality among Nigerians in current times. Since people don’t have enough to pay for their health care, they succumb to death in the process. The way forward *Since the fuel subsidy removal increased the cost of living for many Nigerians, there is a need for the government and employers of labour to increase the minimum wage of workers to enable Nigerians to cope with life. *Friendly petroleum refining licences should be granted to investors to boost local production and make crude oil products readily available for all. This competition in the long run will lead to a reduction in the prices of petroleum products. *Government-owned petroleum station needs to be built across all communities in Nigeria to take the products closer to the common person. When this is done, the managers of these stations should be discouraged from hoarding the products but encouraged to sell at fair rates. *Alternative means of transportation like electricity and solar-powered cars and trains should be made available for Nigerians. This will help in shifting our focus from petroleum products to renewable energy thereby, reducing climate change and creating environmentally friendly jobs. *The provision of social amenities like schools and hospitals should become a priority for the government in this era of fuel subsidy removal. This could be achieved through the rechannelling of money saved from the subsidy to the above-mentioned areas to make life comfortable for Nigerians. *Since wants are insatiable, Nigerians should be taught about how to use limited resources to

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Fuel Price Brouhaha: The Implications For Nigeria

  In the good old days, Nigeria’s economy was blessed with oil palm plantations in the East, groundnut pyramids in the North and Cocoa plantations in the West. The discovery of crude oil in the country in commercial quantities brought about radical changes in the economy of the nation. Agriculture and all other sectors seem to have gone into oblivion thereby making the country to be totally dependent on oil for foreign exchange earnings. The result being that Nigeria becomes an oil-driven mono economy to the extent that when crude oil “coughs,” Nigeria will shiver. To understand Nigeria’s oil sector, it’s important to look at it from the upstream and the downstream sectors. The upstream involves exploration. Government in partnership with international oil companies explore crude oil, get it, lift it and then sell. In the downstream sector, it basically involves the distribution of much of the refined products arising from crude oil. But the challenge there is the disconnect between the upstream sector and the downstream sector – given that Nigeria at the moment, do not have the facility to refine these crude oils. So, what we have is enclave economy in the upstream sector where what happens there does not in any way reflect in the economy generally. So, we just lift the (crude) oil, we send them abroad for refining and whatever happens, Nigerians do not know, and then, the price immediately changes as a result of international factors; and of course, the internal factors which also include corruption by the big players in the downstream sector. Now, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) – an agency of the government, is a regulator – regulating itself and all other players in the downstream oil sector; it is a big player in the sector in the sense that it participates in the business. It is the representative of the government that help in selling oil and then gets the revenue for the government and so, much of Nigeria’s revenue depends on it. The Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency (PPPRA) as well, is a federal government agency. It determines prices of petroleum products in the country. It also monitors and regulates the refining, supply and distribution of petroleum products. The Brouhaha: the twists and turns The PPPRA on Thursday, March 11, 2020 announced that for the month of March, a litre of petrol would sell between N209.61 and N212.61. It pegged the ex-depot price – the amount sold by fuel depot owners to marketers at N206.42, while the landing cost stands at N189.61 per litre. The NNPC – the sole importer of refined petrol, however debunked such figures. In a statement by one of its Group General Managers Kennie Obateru, he maintained that the Corporation was not contemplating any rise in the price of petrol in March. But very recently, Nigerians on Friday, March 12, 2020 woke up to the shocking news of N212.61 pump price of petrol per litre. There was immediate artificial scarcity and depot owners began to hoard petrol and some, raising their prices. This sparked outrage and it quickly impacted on the cost of goods and services making life unbearable for the people. In a twist of reaction however, the Minister of state for Petroleum, Timipre Sylva apologized to Nigerians for the discomfort and inconveniences caused by the misinformation about the hike in fuel price. Quoting him, he said, “neither me nor the President, Muhammadu Buhari had approved the increase in the retail price of petrol to N212 per litre. Irrespective of the source of information, I want to assure you that it is completely false” It took no longer, the PPPRA later deleted the post earlier published on its website. So, that was the brouhaha citizens found themselves and it reveals a case of ineffective and unreliable communication strategy by the government. There has not been very good synergy between the agencies of government – the PPPRA is saying something else, while the NNPC comes to debunk it. We see a disconnect in the activities of government. There is so much opacity in the oil pricing. Nothing is clear. Nigerians do not know what is happening in the oil sector and whether government will stick to its words going forward. Admittedly, there is absolute secrecy suggesting that it is purposeful; since those of them in leadership positions are seemingly gaining. It also suggests that government is desperate for money. Nigeria has passed the borrowing limit going by the 2009 Fiscal Act – it means we are going beyond the threshold of what we should borrow. The external (plus internal) debt is mounting and the sources for it are also shrinking to the extent that we have borrowed so much from the sources we have and instead of coming up with innovative ways of reducing cost and increasing revenue, government appear to be thinking of the escapist route of manipulating the fuel prices – the very thin thread on which every Nigerian hangs. How does the increases in fuel pump price affects the people? What are the implications? First, we see that the government is extinguishing the middle class. The poor are becoming poorer, the rich getting richer. The government is therefore, deepening poverty across the country both at household levels and at the firms. And so, Nigerians working in self-employment or paid employment experience a reduction in their disposable income. With the reduction in disposable income of individuals, not many companies will adjust the cost-of-living allowance for their workers and beyond that, even if the companies decide to have adjustment in the cost-of-living allowance, that will also impact on their bottom-line – bringing a continuous reversal of human development indices occasioned by the hike in the price of petrol. Unfortunately, we have not seen government deliver on improving electricity it stipulated in the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP). Electricity tariff has continued to increase and beyond the increment in tariff, Nigerians have also seen the continued inefficiency in the distribution of electricity.

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